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When the 2023 PGA Championship begins on Thursday, May 18 at Oak Hill Country Club, golfers will find out if 13 is an unlucky number. The par-5, 625-yard, 13th hole on the East Course earned the nickname “Hill of Fame” and plays 20 yards further since the course restoration in 2022 in preparation for the 2023 PGA Championship field. This year marks the fourth PGA Championship at Oak Hill and the first since 2013. Jon Rahm, the top-ranked player in the world, and Scottie Scheffler are 15-2 co-favorites according to the latest 2023 PGA Championship odds on Caesars Sportsbook.
Rory McIlroy is 12-1 among the top 2023 PGA Championship contenders, followed by Justin Thomas, the defending champion, at 16-1. Before locking in your 2023 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2023 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $7,400 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $1,100. McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 longshot.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 PGA Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2023: Jordan Spieth, a 13-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Spieth has competed at Oak Hill Country Club once before at the 2013 PGA Championship and missed the cut. He’s finished 30th or worse in his last three PGA Championship starts and has just two career top-10s across 10 starts at the major.
Spieth was at his best and winning majors when his putter was on, but he’s regressed considerably on the greens. He ranks just 76th in strokes gained putting (.098) and 113th in total putting (238.5). Those struggles are leading to extra strokes, evident by Spieth ranking outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in birdies made. Spieth hasn’t recaptured his major-winning form, and the model sees far better betting options in the 2023 PGA Championship field.
Another surprise: Viktor Hovland, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Hovland, ranked No. 11 in the world, struggled in his most recent tournament when he finished 59th with a 1-under-par in the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in April. However, he finished in the top 10 in his previous three tournaments.
Hovland had a strong showing at the Masters, finishing seventh at 6-under-par. He has finished in the top 10 in six of his 12 tournaments this season, performing as one of the most consistent golfers on the tour. Hovland, who was ranked No. 9 in the world before his 59th-place finish at the RBC Heritage, has put together back-to-back favorable performances in majors. He finished fourth at 14-under-par at the Open Championship in June. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with PGA Championship odds 2023 of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA Championship picks here.
So, who will win the PGA Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
2023 PGA Championship odds, field
See full the PGA Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Jon Rahm +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Rory McIlroy +1200
Justin Thomas +1600
Jordan Spieth +1800
Brooks Koepka +1900
Xander Schauffele +2000
Cameron Smith +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Dustin Johnson +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Cameron Young +2500
Max Homa +3000
Jason Day +3000
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +3500
Bryson DeChambeau +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Talor Gooch +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Justin Rose +6000
Daniel Berger +6000
Sahith Theegala +6000
Paul Casey +6500
Tyrrell Hatton +6500
Louis Oosthuizen +6500
Corey Conners +6500
Patrick Reed +6500
Tommy Fleetwood +6500
Rickie Fowler +6500
Abraham Ancer +6500
Adam Scott +8000
Webb Simpson +8000
K.H. Lee +8000
Mackenzie Hughes +8000
Mito Pereira +8000
Tom Hoge +8500
Phil Mickelson +8500
Billy Horschel +9000
Keegan Bradley +9000
Aaron Wise +9000
Sergio Garcia +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Davis Riley +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Harris English +10000
Si-Woo Kim +10000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Luke List +12500
Bubba Watson +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Alex Noren +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Matthew Wolff +12500
Harold Varner +12500
Robert Macintyre +12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12500
JT Poston +15000
Maverick McNealy +15000
Brian Harman +15000
Matt Kuchar +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Kevin Kisner +15000
JJ Spaun +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Kevin Na +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Thomas Pieters +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Lee Westwood +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Sam Horsfield +20000
Russell Knox +25000
Ryan Palmer +25000