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The Texas Tech Red Raiders will try to cap a seemingly successful season with a victory against the Ole Miss Rebels on Wednesday in the 2022 Texas Bowl. The Red Raiders (7-5, 5-4 Big 12) finished the season on a three-game win streak, capping it with a 52-48 victory in overtime against Oklahoma. Texas Tech beat the Sooners and Texas in the same season for the first time in program history. Ole Miss (8-4, 4-4 SEC) lost three straight to close the season and look to salvage something from a promising year that went south quickly.
Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rebels as 4-point favorites in the latest Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss odds, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 72. Before locking in any Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss and just revealed its Texas Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech:
- Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss spread: Rebels -4
- Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss over/under: 72 points
- Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss money line: Red Raiders +170, Rebels -205
- TT: The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their past 10 bowls (since 2006)
- MISS: The Rebels are 7-2 ATS in their past nine bowl games (since 2003)
- Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Ole Miss can cover
The Rebels are 4-7-1 against the spread but 2-2 ATS in non-conference games. They average 261 rushing yards per game (third in FBS) while TTU allows 167 per contest on the ground (84th). Ole Miss averages 6.3 yards per play (21st) and 5.4 per rush (ninth), while Texas Tech yields 5.8 per play and 4.5 per carry (96th), The Rebels are plus-1 in turnover margin (17 takeaways), while the Red Raiders are minus-9. Texas Tech’s 23 turnovers rank 115th in the nation and 14 takeaways (T-103). Ole Miss averages 34 points per game while allowing 24.
Ole Miss averages 491 yards per game (eighth in FBS) and quarterback Jaxson Dart has 2,613 passing yards and 548 yards to the run game. He has 18 touchdown passes and has been sacked 13 times. Running back Quinshon Judkins averages 5.9 yards per carry and is eighth in the nation with 1,476 yards. He has at least 91 rushing yards in six straight games and has scored 10 TDs.
Why Texas Tech can cover
The Red Raiders are 5-2 against the spread in their past seven and 7-5 ATS overall this season. They will be without top running back SaRodorick Thompson and part-time quarterback Donovan Smith and star defensive end Tyree Wilson. Still, the Red Raiders have been tested this season, facing six ranked teams. They beat Houston and Texas, and four of their five losses came in those matchups. Quarterback Tyler Shough should be healthier than he’s been all season, and he threw for 436 yards against Oklahoma. The senior averages 7.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Red Raiders have been excellent in the red zone, scoring on 92% of their trips (eighth in FBS), and Ole Miss opponents score 91% of the time (114th). The team’s turnover problems aren’t likely to be too badly exposed against an Ole Miss squad that has 17 takeaways (T-69 in FBS). Tahj Brooks should fill in for Thompson, and the junior has 601 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.
How to make Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting the teams to combine for 67 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only get the model’s picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss spread to back in Wednesday’s Texas Bowl, all from the advanced model that has been crushing its top-rated college football picks, and find out.