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There have been a few up and downs in League One since Christmas. Sheffield Wednesday were almost guaranteed promotion at one point! Let’s take a look at the promotion percentage probabilities of challenging teams each week of 2023. Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/league-one/
Let’s imagine that the league started in 2023. Who comes out top in League One?! We’ll start with the strugglers and work our way up to the teams that will go up automatically! Source: https://www.statbunker.com/competitions/LeagueTable?comp_id=720&start_date=01-01-2023&end_date=30-05-2023&start_time=0&end_time=90
It’s looking like whoever finishes 3rd in League One this season will have an incredibly high points total. Or will they? Let’s look at the last 11 seasons and see which teams finished 3rd and how many points they got.
Let’s take a look at the form teams in League One and see what happens if their form continues. We’ll take their average points from the last 6 matches and assume these totals for their final games. Who goes up and who goes down?! Points total as of 10th April 2023.