2021 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions by proven model that called six majors

Golf

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The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island has earned a reputation as one of the most challenging venues in the United States. The host course for the 1991 Ryder Cup, the Ocean Course borders the Atlantic Ocean in South Carolina and is often buffeted by strong winds swirling through the rugged dunes that frame it. On Thursday, May 20, Kiawah Island will host the 2021 PGA Championship, the second major of the year. As a result of the conditions, the PGA Championship 2021 has the potential to play over par if the weather wreaks havoc on the world’s best players.

Defending champion Collin Morikawa is 22-1 in the latest 2021 PGA Championship odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The entire 2021 PGA Championship field is looking up at 11-1 favorite and world No. 1 Dustin Johnson, as well as Jon Rahm, who’s 12-1. Before locking in your 2021 PGA Championship picks, be sure to see the 2021 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Jon Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing. All told, McClure’s best bets netted over $450 at the Masters.

In addition, McClure was all over Daniel Berger’s win at +1400 in his best bets at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. McClure also nailed Viktor Hovland’s (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he’s made in the past few months.

After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets in that tournament. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Garcia winning outright. He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff.

This same model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 PGA Championship leaderboard.

The model’s top 2021 PGA Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2021: Bryson DeChambeau, the defending U.S. Open champion and one of the top favorites, struggles and barely cracks the top 10. DeChambeau has been one of the hottest players on tour this season, finishing on top of the leaderboard at the U.S. Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The eight-time PGA Tour champion has been sensational off the tee this season, ranking first in driving distance, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained off the tee. DeChambeau’s length off the tee also has him ranked inside the top 12 in both scoring average and birdie average.

However, DeChambeau is hitting fewer than 60 percent of fairways off the tee, which can cause plenty of trouble at Kiawah Island. His inability to find the fairway off the tee has resulted in DeChambeau finishing outside the top 40 in his last two starts on the PGA Tour, which includes a 46th finish at the Masters. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the PGA Championship 2021 field.

Another surprise: Patrick Reed, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The seventh-ranked player in the world, Reed seemingly lives for big moments and major championships. A nine-time PGA Tour winner, Reed has already been victorious this season, capturing the Farmers Insurance Open.

Reed made another run at the Masters this year, as only a second-round 75 kept him from higher than a ninth-place finish. However, Reed’s putting touch never has him too far away from contention, as he is first on the PGA Tour in putting average (1.673 putts per hole) and ranks second in both strokes gained putting and total putting. Those assets will be critical at Kiawah Island and is a prime reason why Reed should be considered in your 2021 PGA Championship bets, according to the model.

How to make 2021 PGA Championship picks

The model is targeting four other golfers with PGA Championship odds 2021 higher than 20-1 to make a strong run at the Wanamaker Trophy. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the 2021 PGA Championship? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up over $10,000 since the restart.

2021 PGA Championship odds

Dustin Johnson 10-1
Jon Rahm 11-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Bryson DeChambeau 14-1
Jordan Spieth 16-1
Brooks Koepka 16-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Rory McIlroy 16-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Daniel Berger 30-1
Viktor Hovland 30-1
Tony Finau 30-1
Will Zalatoris 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood 33-1
Tyyrell Hatton 33-1
Webb Simpson 33-1
Patrick Reed 33-1
Justin Rose 40-1
Harris English 40-1
Jason Day 40-1
Cameron Smith 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 45-1
Joaquin Niemann 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1
Matthew Wolff 50-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50-1
Adam Scott 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Sung-Jae Im 60-1
Sergio Garcia 60-1
Shane Lowry 66-1
Lee Westwood 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Corey Conners 66-1
Francesco Molinari 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Max Homa 80-1
Rickie Fowler 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Abraham Ancer 80-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Henrik Stenson 100-1
Bubba Watson 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Robert Macintyre 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1
Branden Grace 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Jason Kokrak 125-1
Martin Kaymer 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Kevin Na 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Alex Noren 125-1
Zach Johnson 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Bernd Wiesberger 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Danny Willett 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Chez Reavie 150-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 200-1

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