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The 2023-24 NFL season is in the books now that Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers to claim their third championship in the last five seasons. Bettors can now get a head start on next season and bet on Super Bowl 59 odds.
Many of the usual suspects, like the Chiefs, Bills and 49ers, still populate the top of betting boards. But as more sportsbooks post odds for Super Bowl 59, the odds for some teams may vary significantly depending on the sportsbook.
Let’s take a look at the early Super Bowl 2025, along with a few picks and predictions.
Odds of winning Super Bowl 59
Here are the opening odds to win Super Bowl 2025 as posted at top-rated NFL betting sites:
- San Francisco 49ers +500
- Kansas City Chiefs +700
- Cincinnati Bengals +1000
- Buffalo Bills +1000
- Baltimore Ravens +1100
- Detroit Lions +1200
- Dallas Cowboys +1500
- Philadelphia Eagles +1600
- Green Bay Packers +2000
- Los Angeles Rams +2000
- Miami Dolphins +2200
- Houston Texans +2500
- New York Jets +3000
- Los Angeles Chargers +3300
- Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
- Chicago Bears +3500
- Cleveland Browns +4000
- Atlanta Falcons +5000
- Minnesota Vikings +6000
- Indianapolis Colts +6000
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7000
- New Orleans Saints +7500
- Seattle Seahawks +7500
- Las Vegas Raiders +8000
- Denver Broncos +8000
- Pittsburgh Steelers +8000
- Arizona Cardinals +10000
- Washington Commanders +12500
- New York Giants +12500
- New England Patriots +15000
- Tennessee Titans +15000
- Carolina Panthers +15000
How teams approach free agency and the draft could certainly impact their Super Bowl 59 odds. Several talented free agents will hit the open market when the new league year begins on March 13. The NFL Draft in April will truly round out NFL rosters before training camps begin in July.
Until then, here are a few trends that may help you decide who to put your money on:
- Early odds for six of the last 10 winners (Super Bowls 48-57) had odds shorter than +1000, i.e., +750 (Chiefs, SB 57), +500 (Patriots, SB 53), etc.
- Nine of the last 15 winners (SB 43-57) had early odds longer than +1000, including every winner from SB 43-48.
- The ’99 Rams hold the record for the team with the longest preseason odds to win the Super Bowl (+15000).
- Two winners in the last six had early odds of +6000 (Buccaneers, SB 55, and Eagles, SB 52).
- Early favorites (teams with odds shorter than +1000) have done well over the last decade (winnings six of 10 Super Bowls), but from the 1999 season (Super Bowl 34) through 2012 (Super Bowl 47), only one winner had early odds shorter than +1000 (Patriots, SB 39 +600).
- Since 1995, 12 preseason favorites have gone on to play in the Super Bowl. But those teams are 3-9 in those games.
- The all-time series is tied between the AFC and NFC, 29-29.
- The AFC won the last two Super Bowls and seven of the last 10.
- The NFC has won two of the last four.
- Two first-year head coaches have led their teams to Super Bowl wins (Don Cafferty, Baltimore Colts, Super Bowl 5, and George Seifert, 49ers, Super Bowl 24).
- Several second-year head coaches went on to win the Super Bowl: Ravens (SB 35), Brian Billick; Patriots (SB 36), Bill Belichick; Steelers (SB 43), Mike Tomlin; Broncos (SB 50), Gary Kubiak; Eagles (SB 51), Doug Pederson.
Bet(s) to consider
It is not hard to craft a solid argument for the four teams with odds shorter than +1000 to win Super Bowl 59. So, we will focus on teams with longer odds instead:
Lions +1200 (FanDuel)
While fans are probably disappointed in how the season ended, they should be excited about the future. Detroit is no longer the team happy just to be in the postseason. They expect to win.
Dan Campbell will learn from his mistakes, the team will come back next season ready to prove 2023 wasn’t a fluke, and they will be Super Bowl 59 contenders. The Lions’ Super Bowl 59 odds may not be as high as they are for long.
Texans +2500 (BetRivers)
If the Texans do not lose anyone significant in free agency, they could become one of the top contenders in the AFC in DeMeco Ryans’ second season.
Packers +2000 (BetRivers)
If Jordan Love can build off his success in the second half of the ’23 season, Green Bay will become a Super Bowl contender, and Love could win NFL MVP in 2024.
Jets +3000 (FanDuel)
The defense looked as good as expected in 2023, but when Aaron Rodgers went down, so did their shot at the Super Bowl. But with a healthy Rodgers behind center in 2024, the Jets will be one of the teams to watch.
Chargers +3300 (Bet365)
Can Jim Harbaugh turn the Chargers into a legitimate contender in his first season as the HC? Absolutely.
When he took over the 49ers in 2011, San Francisco was fresh off a 6-10 season. In his first season, they improved to 13-3 and played in the NFC Championship game, a 20-17 OT loss to the Giants. The Chargers roster has as much talent on it as the ’11 49ers had if not more.
With Harbaugh now in charge and with their odds at +3300 there is value in betting on the them to win Super Bowl 59.
Rams +3500 (DraftKings)
If they can add a little depth in a few key roles and don’t lose too many (if any) players to free agency, they could be a long shot worth getting behind.
Bet now on Super Bowl 2025 odds using the best NFL betting promos and bonuses at top-rated online sportsbooks.