2021 QBE Shootout odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that’s nailed seven majors

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The 2021 QBE Shootout marks the end of the calendar year for the 2021-22 PGA Tour schedule. It’s an event that doesn’t award FedEX Cup points, but does have a prize purse of $3.6 million. Play begins on Friday at Tiburon Golf Course in Naples, Fla., and it’s a unique format that features a dozen teams of two. One of the more intriguing teams is two-time Masters champion Bubba Watson, who is playing with 11-time LPGA winner Lexi Thompson.

They are listed at 33-1 in the latest 2021 QBE Shootout odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The favorites are Sam Burns/Billy Horschel (4-1), Jason Kokrak/Kevin Na (11-2) and three-time champion Harris English/Matt Kuchar (13-2). Before making any 2021 QBE Shootout picks, be sure to see the PGA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up almost $10,000 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba in November, the model was all over Viktor Hovland (18-1) winning his third PGA Tour title.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure’s best bets netted over $2,200 at the 2021 Open Championship.

In addition, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing.

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 QBE Shootout field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 QBE Shootout leaderboard.

The model’s top 2021 QBE Shootout predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the QBE Shootout 2021: The Max Homa/Kevin Kisner team, one of the favorites at 7-1, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10 of this 12-team field. Neither golfer was in the field last year. Kisner, however, played in 2018 and he struggled mightily as he was teamed up with Cameron Champ.

That duo finished last that year, a whopping 16 shots off the lead. Homa won the Fortinet Championship earlier this season, but he’s been in bad form since that point, finishing T35 or worse in his next three events. That includes a missed cut at the RSM Classic in November. Kisner has struggled this season, missing the cut in two of his three events thus far. The model says they’re not a strong value at 7-1, so this is a team to avoid in 2021 QBE Shootout bets.

Another surprise: The Sean O’Hair/Will Zalatoris team, a 12-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. They have a better chance to win than the odds imply, making them one of the PGA sleeper picks to consider this week. This will be the debut for Zalatoris, but O’Hair is a veteran who has played well in this event.

O’Hair and Kevin Na teamed up last year and finished tied for second. O’Hair won this event in 2017 when teamed up with Steve Stricker. That experience, teamed up with a talented young player in Zalatoris, who has already recorded a couple top-15 finishes this season, should make for a strong combination. Even though the team has 12-1 odds, some of the longest in the field, SportsLine’s model has it finishing in the top half of the final leaderboard, making this team a strong option for PGA Tour picks.

How to make 2021 QBE Shootout picks

The model is also targeting two other teams with odds of 11-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the QBE Shootout 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 QBE Shootout leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $10,000 since the restart.